Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.276754 1.454632 1.648225 1.874564 2.131950 2.415574 2.751892
2025-11-16 0.998469 1.239736 1.525327 1.888328 2.337616 2.875754 3.569853
2025-11-23 0.849280 1.119210 1.457857 1.913948 2.512549 3.272114 4.310554
2025-11-30 0.731673 1.012509 1.382045 1.903946 2.622674 3.578850 4.950048
2025-12-07 0.633309 0.914382 1.299859 1.867205 2.681839 3.811036 5.498943
2025-12-14 0.550766 0.826033 1.217812 1.816151 2.708051 3.990675 5.980542
2025-12-21 0.491454 0.763152 1.163180 1.795120 2.769882 4.219585 6.546391
2025-12-28 0.463362 0.743075 1.168031 1.860701 2.963522 4.655520 7.458036
2026-01-04 0.419030 0.692561 1.120520 1.838847 3.016957 4.877915 8.052508
2026-01-11 0.395221 0.672049 1.117328 1.885678 3.181558 5.285532 8.975802
2026-01-18 0.365852 0.639133 1.090419 1.889850 3.274421 5.581761 9.736915
2026-01-25 0.334254 0.599173 1.047764 1.862583 3.310010 5.782830 10.349525
2026-02-01 0.298092 0.550470 0.990368 1.812828 3.317140 5.961905 10.990049
2026-02-08 0.274560 0.522444 0.967301 1.823640 3.436752 6.356006 12.070960
2026-02-15 0.255856 0.500972 0.953267 1.848473 3.582842 6.809251 13.304397
2026-02-22 0.234786 0.472506 0.923018 1.838809 3.661545 7.143210 14.342625
2026-03-01 0.213044 0.440227 0.881975 1.803324 3.685334 7.372901 15.197406
2026-03-08 0.192248 0.407514 0.836600 1.754015 3.675524 7.534116 15.928006
2026-03-15 0.176731 0.383974 0.807090 1.733703 3.722052 7.810814 16.922227
2026-03-22 0.170772 0.379990 0.817161 1.797042 3.949560 8.478797 18.809791
2026-03-29 0.157633 0.358990 0.789333 1.775935 3.993177 8.763998 19.895508
2026-04-05 0.151287 0.352388 0.791695 1.821166 4.186495 9.387492 21.792659
2026-04-12 0.142139 0.338433 0.776488 1.825195 4.287242 9.816518 23.290610